Projection bias in catalog orders

Conlin (2007) · American Economic Review · Read the paper

Catalogue orders of cold-weather items; evidence of projection bias over the weather; 'if the order-date temperature declines by 30 degrees F, the return probability increases by 3.95 percent.'.

Catalogue orders of cold-weather items; evidence of projection bias over the weather; 'if the order-date temperature declines by 30 degrees F, the return probability increases by 3.95 percent.'.

Written from the abstract read 2026-10-12.

What our sources record

Reproduced as it was written when this source was checked, figures and all.

doi:10.1257/aer.97.4.1217. Abstract read: catalogue orders of cold-weather items; evidence of projection bias over the weather; 'if the order-date temperature declines by 30 degrees F, the return probability increases by 3.95 percent.'