Neal Roese
Neal Roese appears on this site as co-author of the 2012 Perspectives on Psychological Science review of hindsight bias, with Kathleen Vohs.
Who they are
The work of Neal Roese reaches this site through the paper listed below. On this site the name is tied to Hindsight Bias, Consider-the-Opposite.
Key papers
Roese, N. J., & Vohs, K. D. (2012). Hindsight bias. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 7(5), 411-426. What it reports: Reviews hindsight bias as three nested levels, memory distortion, inevitability and foreseeability, with cognitive, metacognitive and motivational inputs, and names considering the opposite as the most consistently effective way to reduce it, best with few alternatives.
Key ideas
Hindsight Bias: Once you know how something turned out, you lose the ability to reconstruct what you believed before you knew.
Consider-the-Opposite: A way of reducing a bias by asking how a different outcome or cause could have come about.
Sources
- Roese, N. J., & Vohs, K. D. (2012). Hindsight bias. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 7(5), 411-426.