The curse of expertise: The effects of expertise and debiasing methods on prediction of novice performance.
Hinds asked people with different levels of expertise to predict how long novices would need to learn a task on a mobile phone. The abstract reports that predictions were worse the more expert the predictor, with novice completion times underestimated, and that the debiasing methods tested did not remove the bias.
Hinds asked people with different levels of expertise to predict how long novices would need to learn a task on a mobile phone. The abstract reports that predictions were worse the more expert the predictor, with novice completion times underestimated, and that the debiasing methods tested did not remove the bias.
Written from the abstract, journal record, 2026-10-31.
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Hinds, P. J. (1999). The curse of expertise: The effects of expertise and debiasing methods on prediction of novice performance. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 5(2), 205-221. doi:10.1037/1076-898X.5.2.205