Hindsight bias
Roese and Vohs, Perspectives on Psychological Science 7(5), 2012, 411-426. Reviews hindsight bias as three nested levels (memory distortion, inevitability, foreseeability) with cognitive, metacognitive and motivational inputs; names consider-the-opposite as the most consistently effective debiasing method, best with few alternatives; notes expertise helps only with clear, frequent feedback; names consequences of single-explanation fixation and overconfidence.
Roese and Vohs, Perspectives on Psychological Science 7(5), 2012, 411-426. Reviews hindsight bias as three nested levels (memory distortion, inevitability, foreseeability) with cognitive, metacognitive and motivational inputs; names consider-the-opposite as the most consistently effective debiasing method, best with few alternatives; notes expertise helps only with clear, frequent feedback; names consequences of single-explanation fixation and overconfidence.
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Roese, N. J., & Vohs, K. D. (2012). Hindsight bias. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 7(5), 411-426. doi:10.1177/1745691612454303 https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691612454303